Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 9.897758 11.072561 12.341751 13.816535 15.485275 17.317395 19.484665
2025-04-27 8.296840 9.889386 11.731738 14.027421 16.820836 20.121493 24.334623
2025-05-04 7.006520 8.832906 11.078226 14.057323 17.929763 22.824777 29.531395
2025-05-11 5.838841 7.742118 10.214366 13.688462 18.488378 24.950156 34.415533
2025-05-18 4.944682 6.867379 9.494804 13.389634 19.088064 27.231353 39.949464
2025-05-25 4.243714 6.150766 8.882003 13.137763 19.709171 29.647853 46.155205
2025-06-01 3.702419 5.583031 8.396805 12.991572 20.458282 32.379833 53.392740
2025-06-08 3.272739 5.120522 8.000552 12.915863 21.300393 35.400047 61.721442
2025-06-15 3.001558 4.866450 7.890607 13.279270 22.920258 39.988194 73.736569
2025-06-22 2.682100 4.489710 7.527462 13.156210 23.675145 43.199801 83.924243
2025-06-29 2.376452 4.095811 7.081236 12.816032 23.975099 45.624130 93.110936
2025-07-06 2.137208 3.787022 6.742352 12.619021 24.508895 48.587965 104.075146
2025-07-13 1.988152 3.627300 6.661808 12.921811 26.126774 54.135187 122.229394
2025-07-20 1.862407 3.495057 6.615488 13.287502 27.949345 60.501725 143.984107
2025-07-27 1.727036 3.327210 6.478019 13.445501 29.360215 66.264141 165.883370
2025-08-03 1.566147 3.089045 6.169024 13.190064 29.800449 69.879332 183.303522
2025-08-10 1.428328 2.881355 5.896487 12.974227 30.299030 73.754735 202.583988
2025-08-17 1.308649 2.697433 5.651182 12.783702 30.828760 77.835343 223.700377
2025-08-24 1.209176 2.545165 5.455731 12.681328 31.565778 82.635185 248.489575
2025-08-31 1.124416 2.415351 5.294265 12.637298 32.450983 88.050844 276.986006
2025-09-07 1.076231 2.361912 5.300808 13.015313 34.552454 97.434608 321.848473
2025-09-14 1.001855 2.239815 5.130898 12.912221 35.293277 102.962291 355.190292
2025-09-21 0.922030 2.096253 4.892334 12.591602 35.349335 106.404699 382.141187